Mar 18, 2013 12:00pm PDT
because of the negotiations over the debt ceiling. the administration wanted to clean increase in the debt ceiling. when we were facing a potential disaster because of reluctance on the part of congress to raise the debt ceiling. we saw a solution which we hope would not be put in place. no one expected it to be put in place. the idea was to have a commitment mechanism we wouldn't need to force us to make better policy decisions on the sequester. and in the negotiations, what i was referring to was the fiscal cliff negotiations at the end of last year, where the matters were very close. the president did not ask for more revenue in those negotiations. he actually asked for less. he had 1.6 trillion in his budget, came down to 1.2 trillion. i will point out charlie the president has done unusual he's kept his last offer on the table. he didn't retreat and say no i want to go back to that original figure. he kept some very difficult offers on the table to reach a bargain, including entitlement reforms. and so the president has been looking for a balanced way to do this. and in some sense it'
Mar 18, 2013 7:00pm PDT
have crazy -- another complication over the debt ceiling. at this point, it is dysfunct n dysfunctional politics getting in the way of an economy gradually getting its act together. >> does the economy in terms of federal finances need what's been characterized as a grand bargain? do you think it's possible? i was listening to a political analyst who said if a grand bargain means somebody has to -- each side has to sign on to raising tacks and cutting entitlement, he knew of no politician who would buy that bargain. >> i don't think it's likely, but i wouldn't put it this way. i would say the division between the parties is too large. that we've -- we as republicans basically have not acknowledged the election. that's the problem. it is not urgent. the congressional budget office debt projections show pretty much stable u.s. indetectivedness for the next ten years. they do not show anything that looks like a crisis. we have long, long run problems but not anything that has to be dealt with this year or five years from now or seven years from now. >> are you worried about t
Mar 22, 2013 7:00pm PDT
, sequester, the debt ceiling, all of those issues seem to be moving out later into the year. so as a result the impediments that were slowing the economy down over the last couple of quarters we think will result in better economic growth. the equity market is starting to sense that. i think to some degree that is some of the reasons why the markets ignored washington and ignored sandy so far this year and is up 10% or so. >> that is why you have such a bullish forecast for the s&p. you are calling for it to end the year at 16.60. it is all going to play out pretty strongly. >> we think corporate earnings will chug along may increase about $108 full year for the s&p. we think we will get a little multiple expansion from 14 to 15 times as treasury yields continue to work higher. that will drive out of bounds and into stocks. we think the equity market ends up with a 15% to 20% positive return for the year. >> that is a good way to turn to stocks that are going to perform well. you have len on the big board as your top pick. you reported the blowout earnings this year. the stock has been on a